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Defence Outcome Programs · AI Research, Analyst-Checked

Stop buying static industry reports. Commission the exact defence outcome your team needs.

Whether you are deploying a defence credit facility, renegotiating sole-source hardware quotes, assembling an industrial participation bid bench, screening acquisition targets pre-LOI, or entering defence manufacturing from civilian lines, choose the outcome program built for your decision.

Request a defence outcome scopeChoose your buyer outcome ↓
research deliveries
300+
sectors covered worldwide
20+

Used by a global advisory firm, a Canadian pension investor, corporate strategy teams, and mid-market operators across North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific.

Scoped Defence Outcome Briefing

Request a defence outcome scope & sample workbook

Select the decision in front of your team. A 15Rock partner will review your request and reply with a proposed scope and sample deliverable.

Open the scope request form directly

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Start from public or non-confidential information. We can execute a mutual NDA before reviewing confidential material.

Prefer direct email or a mutual NDA first? Email hello@15rock.com

Five outcome-driven defence programs

Select the commercial or operational outcome your team is solving for.

Each program combines AI research across public procurement, trade, certification and financial records with human analyst verification, delivered as a decision brief and editable Excel workbook.

Institutional defence credit underwriting and industrial borrower qualification visual

01 · Capital & Credit Underwriting · Chartered Banks, Sovereign Funds & Institutional Lenders

Deploy $750M to $2B in defence credit with 10x more qualified mid-market borrowers.

Stop competing over the same fifty prime contractors while mid-market loan mandates sit unallocated. We originate and document creditworthy Tier-2 and Tier-3 industrial borrowers with sourced proof of defence revenue share, pro-rata dual-use capital expenditure eligibility and multi-prime backlog stability.

Larger borrower pipeline
10x
Audit-ready eligibility
>=50%
Explore outcome & calculatorHow we help funds, owners and lenders
Exploded precision defence turbine and high-pressure valve assembly with parametric should-cost breakdown

02 · Should-Cost & Fleet Readiness · Defence Primes, Platform Integrators & Portfolio Operations Teams

Uncover 12% to 25% in supplier overpayments with zero spec changes or recertification delays.

Sole-source and sub-tier suppliers routinely hide behind qualification moats and outdated raw-material surcharges to inflate renewal quotes. We decompose your priority hardware into raw alloy indices, machining cycle times, special-process steps and tariff pass-throughs so your buyers negotiate from hard cost evidence without switching qualified vendors.

Modeled quote variance
12–25%
Spec or drawing changes
Zero
Explore outcome & calculatorHow we help prime contractors
Regional defence industrial participation and domestic supplier bench network map

03 · Offset & Tender Capture · Foreign & Domestic Prime Contractors Bidding on Major Tenders

Win major defence tenders with higher-scoring, de-risked industrial participation benches.

When technical scores between competing primes are separated by razor-thin margins, the 15% to 20% evaluation weight on domestic industrial participation and local value propositions decides the award. We build evidenced, work-package-matched domestic supplier benches so your bid scores higher and avoids post-award delivery defaults.

Faster bid bench assembly
70%
Contract-value offset mapping
100%
Explore outcome & calculatorHow we help prime contractors
Institutional M&A due diligence and certified aerospace manufacturing target screening

04 · Pre-LOI Diligence & Roll-Ups · Buyout Funds, Institutional Owners & Corporate M&A Teams

Lock up off-market certified defence targets and catch phantom backlogs pre-LOI in 10 days.

Banker-led defence auctions trade at 14x to 18x EBITDA and routinely dress up one-off surge orders or sunsetting platforms as recurring backlog. We help investment teams source proprietary certified roll-up targets bilaterally and verify true program run-rates, certification moats and upstream forge dependencies before signing an LOI.

Pre-LOI red-flag sprint
10 Days
Entry multiple advantage
2.0–3.5x
Explore outcome & calculatorHow we help funds, owners and lenders
Precision commercial CNC machining and inspection facility transitioning to dual-use defence components

05 · Commercial-to-Defence Entry · Civilian Manufacturers Entering or Expanding in Defence

Capture 35%+ gross-margin defence work packages using your existing commercial lines.

Civilian automotive, energy and heavy-equipment manufacturers often waste $250k+ and two years chasing security clearances before knowing which prime contractors actually need their shop-floor capacity. We map your existing machines and quality systems to funded, unclassified dual-use subcontracts you can bid now while sequencing high-ROI certifications for later.

Target defence gross margin
35%+
Dual-use entry roadmap
90 Days
Explore outcome & calculatorHow we help companies entering defence
Return to the Defence Industry HubExplore the Defence Opportunity AssessmentOpen the standalone Defence Readiness WorkbenchRead Defence whitepapers in 15Rock Review
Defence & Aerospace · Interactive Diagnostic

Defence Readiness & Sub-Tier Bottleneck Workbench.

Select your operational role or run a 2-minute bottleneck diagnostic to see why conventional NAICS directories, ERP spend cubes, and generic AI break at Tier-2 and Tier-3—and open the exact 15Rock Review teardowns built for your decision.

Delivered defence & dual-use scans
32+
Verified sub-tier suppliers graphed
2,100+
Sub-tier plants hidden by NAICS
88.4%
Historical Vote-5 capital lapse mean
35.4%
Modeled naval ISS readiness bridge
59.6% → 75%
Pre-RFP signal lead-time window
10 Months
Select Your Operational Role
Role 01 · Shipyards & Domestic PrimesVP Supply Chain, Chief Procurement Officer & ISS Program Directors

Fleet availability trails the 75% target while sole-source suppliers demand 30%+ price hikes

59.6% → 75%

Modeled forward naval readiness bridge (+C$35M/yr ISS efficiency)

The Operational Bottleneck

Across multi-decade naval shipbuilding and In-Service Support (ISS) programs, 62% of spares-related vessel downtime traces back to 18 long-lead sub-tier valves, shaft seals, chillers, and switchgear—while Tier-2 fabricators bill blanket 28% alloy scrap rates.

Why Tier-1 ERP spend cubes and macro advisory decks fail

ERP spend cubes stop at Tier-1 invoicing and cannot see whether three competing Tier-1 integrators rely on the same single-furnace Tier-3 forging house. Without bottom-up CAD nesting and CNC spindle-hour physics, buyers cannot challenge a 32% sole-source price hike.

How 15Rock Solves It · Parametric Physics Clean-Sheeting & Nuclear Second-Sourcing
  1. 01Physics Should-Cost Bridge: Deconstruct top 50–250 BOM SKUs into finished CAD part weight vs. gross alloy billet, true 14.2% nesting scrap, and deterministic 5-axis spindle hours.
  2. 02Civil Nuclear Cross-Walk: Query 15Rock's industrial graph for 14 domestic ASME Section III / CSA N285 nuclear and severe-service energy shops to qualify alternate sources.
  3. 03Rotable NSN Scrub: Reconcile duplicate NATO Stock Numbers across coastal depots and link safety stock to sub-tier lead-time variance.

Anonymized Benchmark from Delivered Work

Following DND's observed fleet serviceability recovery from 45.73% (FY23–24) to 59.6% (FY24–25), modeled a +15.4-point forward availability bridge toward the 75.0% target via 14 domestic nuclear/energy alternate shops (protecting C$104M–C$260M in cumulative 35-year lifecycle fee-at-risk on a C$5.2B ISS program), plus a 535 bps (US$143.6M / C$194M direct COGS; C$329M combined with C$135M SG&A) margin bridge across a US$2.68B structural platform.

Executive Verification Checklist
  • Isolate the exact 18 sub-tier mechanical/electrical assemblies driving 62% of spares-related platform downtime.
  • Require suppliers to unbundle raw mill alloy index pass-throughs from conversion spindle hours.
  • Cap NADCAP NDT, heat-treatment, and hydro-testing charges as fixed lot fees rather than percentage adders.
  • Cross-qualify 14 domestic civil nuclear (ASME Section III / CSA N285) fabricators against foreign single-source naval valves and heat exchangers.
Read the Full Teardowns in the 15Rock ReviewDiscuss a sub-tier & should-cost diagnostic
Whitepaper15Rock Review

Breaking the Shipyard & Sustainment Bottleneck: Physics Should-Cost Teardowns and Sub-Tier Readiness Across Naval Programs

Observed 45.7% → 59.6% DND baseline, modeled +15.4-pt bridge to 75% via 14 alternate shops, and 535 bps (US$143.6M / C$194M) COGS teardown.

Read in the Review
Whitepaper15Rock Review

The NAICS Blind Spot: Why Sovereign Defence Supply Chains Break at Tier-2 and Tier-3

88.4% (517 of 585) of compiled defence-capable sub-tier plants are registered under non-defence commercial NAICS codes.

Read in the Review