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Capabilities

Five capabilities, one loop.

Each capability answers one question your team asks, from how a market works to what changed since the last review. Start at any step; each cycle points to the next.

The five capabilities

Start from the question you’re asking.

  1. 01

    Map

    How does this market work, and where are the gaps?

    Expose sub-tier supplier chokepoints, sourcing markups and domestic capability gaps.

    You getValue-chain map

  2. 02

    Find

    Which ones should we go after first?

    Originate off-market roll-up targets, win-ready defence programs and qualified borrowers.

    You getScorecard and shortlist

  3. 03

    Diagnose

    Where is the value, or the risk?

    Quantify trapped working capital, SKU and supplier markups, SG&A bloat and asset-level cost exposure.

    Company diagnosticPeer benchmarkRisk against your framework

    You getDiagnostic and peer benchmark

  4. 04

    Plan

    What should we do, and what is it worth?

    Build quantified EBITDA, cash-release, channel-mix and capex-phasing roadmaps.

    You getValue creation plan

  5. 05

    Monitor

    What changed since the last review?

    Re-index supplier should-costs, track peer watchlists and flag portfolio covenant shifts.

    You getQuarterly monitoring read

What you get

What each capability delivers.

Seven deliverables across the five capabilities: a value-chain map, a scorecard and shortlist, a company diagnostic, a peer benchmark, an assessment against your risk framework, a value creation plan and a quarterly monitoring read.

01

“Where are the sub-tier supply bottlenecks, and who holds the certifications we need?”

A map of a market, multi-tier supply chain or regional ecosystem.

Trace sub-tier supplier dependencies, expose single-point forging and component bottlenecks, and build pre-screened domestic supplier benches outside standard industry codes. Every placement carries its source.

For:Governments and agenciesStrategy teamsProcurement and supply chainAdvisory firms

Map: Value-chain map

Value-chain & bottleneck map · Sector AIllustrative
Illustrative multi-tier supply and capability map for a fictional sector
StageQualified supplyDomestic benchBottleneck or gapConfidence
Precision machiningDeepSeveral certified shopsNonehigh
Specialty alloy forgingsThinA few dual-use firmsShared sub-tier forgemedium
Avionics environmental testingOpenTwo candidates to qualifyNo domestic cleanroommedium
Fictional sector and companies; the columns are what you receive.
02

“Which off-market targets, funded programs or borrowers deserve diligence first?”

A scorecard on your criteria and a ranked shortlist from a fragmented universe.

Originate bilateral roll-up targets, cross-reference plant tolerances against funded defence and industrial tenders, or qualify mid-market borrowers. Adjust the weights in the spreadsheet as your thesis sharpens.

For:Investors and ownersGovernments and agenciesStrategy teamsProcurement and supply chainAdvisory firms

Find: Scorecard and shortlist

Evidence behind one score · Target BIllustrative

Program & certification fit — Strong

high
  • Quality registry[Certificate]“Holds active aerospace and welding certifications across main plant.”
  • Trade press[Interview]“Management comment on defence backlog; not independently verified.”
Analyst reviewAnalyst
Fictional target and sources; the format is what you receive.
03

“Do the seller's growth and backlog claims hold up before we sign exclusivity?”

A pre-LOI red-flag diagnostic before the meeting or investment committee.

Pressure-test seller market claims, customer concentration, backlog durability and implied equity valuation bridges before committing deal exclusivity or advisory spend.

For:Investors and ownersStrategy teamsRisk teamsAdvisory firms

Diagnose: Company diagnostic

§ Pre-LOI diagnosticTarget AIllustrative

Do management's market-growth and margin claims hold up pre-LOI?

Answer
Proceed with caution. Core aftermarket backlog is durable, but seller's stated segment growth outpaces independent customs and peer shipments.
Why
Peer filings and tender awards confirm steady replacement demand, whereas new-build volume reflects a temporary restocking cycle.
Could not verify
Customer renewal rate quoted in the teaser deck. It stays flagged for the data room.
Three things to raise
  1. 01New-build versus aftermarket gross-margin split.
  2. 02Paid-off tooling amortization in vendor quotes.
  3. 03The unverified renewal figure.
Analyst
Fictional company; the structure is real.
04

“Where is cash trapped in working capital, and why do our margins trail peers?”

A working-capital, component should-cost and SG&A peer benchmark.

Reconcile accounting footnotes to release cash trapped in inventory and receivables, unbundle component should-costs and trading-house markups, and benchmark post-merger SG&A spans and layers against peers.

For:Governments and agenciesStrategy teamsRisk teamsProcurement and supply chainAdvisory firms

Diagnose: Peer benchmark

Working-capital & margin benchmark · Company A against peersIllustrative
Illustrative working-capital and cost benchmark with a fictional peer set
MeasureCompany AAgainst peersBasisConfidence
Days inventory in branch stockSlower turnAbove peer rangeReconciled FIFO basishigh
Machined component quotes vs. mill indexSurcharge retainedAbove should-costParametric cost modelhigh
Management spans and layersNot comparable—Post-merger basis differs · flaggedlow
Unbilled receivables cycleLongerAbove peer rangeTwo peers undisclosedmedium
Fictional peer set; the columns are what you receive.

Read the full illustrative diagnostic

05

“How do input costs, capex schedules and credit rules affect asset cash flows?”

An asset-level cash-flow, cost-exposure and bankability assessment against your framework.

Convert facility operating and engineering disclosures into multi-year EBITDA bridges under escalating cost scenarios, rank facility capex by return and verify supply traceability for borrower qualification.

For:Investors and ownersRisk teams

Diagnose: Risk against your framework

Asset cash-flow & risk read · Facility AIllustrative
Illustrative framework and carbon-cash-flow assessment of a fictional asset
Your criterionEvidence foundGap or exposureStatus
Carbon-price EBITDA bridgeFacility emissions filing; compliance scheduleProcess-heat abatement capex unphasedSpecialist review
Marginal abatement curveElectrification and heat-recovery engineering studyNonehigh
Borrower traceability checkOff-take and scrap-loop contractsSub-tier feedstock provenance partialmedium
Borrower debt-service cushionAudited statements; mill index sensitivityNonehigh
Fictional facility; your framework sets the rows.
06

“Which commercial and operational levers move EBITDA and cash conversion most?”

A quantified value creation plan: the initiatives, the lever each moves and what it is worth.

Size and sequence the initiatives that close the margin or valuation gap: direct-to-consumer channel shifts, aftermarket repair expansion, SaaS services offloading, SG&A delayering and abatement capex phasing.

For:Governments and agenciesStrategy teams

Plan: Value creation plan

Value creation plan · Business unit AIllustrative
Illustrative value-creation bridge for a fictional business unit
InitiativeMargin or cash leverKey assumptionWork to test itConfidence
Direct-to-consumer shiftCaptures wholesale margin; raises return dragCustomer acquisition cost holds in rangeCohort retention and fulfillment audithigh
Aftermarket repair mixService contracts carry higher gross marginInstalled base converts at peer rateBranch technician capacity checkmedium
Services offloadingShifts low-margin implementation to partnersIntegrator bench covers enterprise accountsPartner readiness reviewmedium
Fictional business unit; the structure is real.
07

“What changed across our holdings, supplier indices and peer watchlists since last quarter?”

Re-index supplier should-costs, track peer benchmarks and flag portfolio shifts.

Compare holdings, supplier surcharges and peer filings against your dated baseline to surface restatements, mill-index divergence and credit triggers before your next committee.

For:Investors and ownersRisk teamsProcurement and supply chain

Monitor: Quarterly monitoring read

Your dated baseline
An agreed starting point across holdings, peer metrics and commodity should-cost indices, scoped to your review calendar.
What moved
Restated footnote metrics, mill-index versus vendor-price divergence, and covenant or policy shifts, with sources attached.
Where to act
Holdings, vendor contracts and open diligence questions that warrant renegotiation or deeper review this quarter.

Start with one question

Bring us the question behind your next decision.

Tell us what you’re investigating and when you need an answer. We’ll discuss the scope, inputs and research that would help.

Discuss your project