For credit, risk, supply-chain and underwriting teams at lenders, investors and operators
Turn supply-chain, asset-cost and credit risk into cash-flow numbers.
Translate sub-tier supply bottlenecks, carbon-cost schedules and borrower disclosures into facility cash-flow bridges and credit decisions. Get source-traced assessments mapped to your framework before the committee meets.
The pressure on your team
Committees need financial and operational impact, not generic risk scores.
Credit, investment and procurement committees cannot act on high-level ratings when a sub-tier forge fails, carbon costs step up or a borrower applies for lower loan spreads. We convert engineering, trade and financial disclosures into facility and borrower cash-flow scenarios.
- Hidden single-point failures where multiple prime suppliers rely on the same upstream sub-tier plant.
- Facility carbon liabilities and abatement capex unmodelled in multi-year EBITDA projections.
- Specialist time absorbed by gathering disclosures issuer by issuer instead of evaluating credit and operational risk.
What your team receives
Work you can take into the room.
Stress-test asset EBITDA and rank facility capex by return
Asset-level production and engineering disclosures converted into multi-year cash-flow bridges, marginal abatement cost curves and borrower bankability checks.
Expose sub-tier supplier bottlenecks and tariff exposure
Multi-tier supply-chain dependency maps identifying shared upstream foundries, specialty material chokepoints and domestic dual-sourcing alternatives.
Qualify borrowers and monitor portfolio covenant triggers
Pre-committee borrower diagnostics and dated quarterly monitoring reads tracking restatements, input-cost indices and regulatory shifts across your book.
Capabilities
Choose a place to start.
Risk against your framework
Stress-test facility EBITDA and capex returns, qualify mid-market borrowers, and verify traceability for lower loan spreads.
Company diagnostic
Stress-test seller growth claims, customer concentration, backlog quality and unit economics before committing exclusivity or advisory fees.
Peer benchmark
Release cash trapped in inventory and receivables, audit component should-costs and trading-house markups, and benchmark SG&A spans and layers.
Quarterly monitoring read
A dated quarterly read against your baseline: re-indexing supplier should-costs to mill indices, updating peer watchlists and flagging covenant shifts.
Outcome programs for risk teams
How to start
One question, a fixed fee, a first read in days.
- Your question
- One live question, with the decision it serves.
- What comes back
- A reviewed answer with a point of view (a ranked shortlist, a diagnostic or a plan), with every source and anything unverified flagged.
- The fee
- The fee is fixed and agreed before work starts.
- The timing
- A first read in days, not weeks, then the reviewed brief on the date we agree.
We can provide regular research updates after the first project.
Anonymized engagements
Research used in real work.
Anonymized examples of delivered work.
Portfolio-wide
Source-linked financial, operational and risk screening across an institutional investor's portfolio — issuer by issuer.
Macro → issuer
Repeatable asset cash-flow stress tests, facility cost bridges and physical-risk screening across a portfolio, every rating source-linked.
Borrower-level
Outside-in borrower diagnostics, unit-cost sensitivity and bankability checks across a direct lender's loan book — built without internal borrower data.
How we work together
Your method. AI research, analyst-checked.
- 01
Frame the question
Together, we agree the decision, research scope, inputs and what a useful answer looks like.
- 02
Build the evidence
AI agents gather company and industry evidence around your criteria, peer set and permitted sources, and cite every source.
- 03
Explain what matters
Our analysts check the agents’ work: they challenge the findings, check peers and calculations, and flag anything unverified before the brief reaches your review.
Start with one question
Bring us one framework and the issuers to assess. Get back a reviewed assessment.
Tell us what you’re investigating and when you need an answer. We’ll discuss the scope, inputs and research that would help.